Our models are purposefully simple, in an attempt to understand the most important aspects of global virus spread. In these models, a system is either infected or not. If it is infected, there is some probability each day that it will have an infectious contact with some other system in the world, typically via exchange of floppy diskettes or software exchange over a network. This is called the birth rate of the virus.
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How Viruses Spread Over the past several years, we have constucted theoretical models of how computer viruses spread in a population, and compared them against the results of an ongoing study of actual virus incidents [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6].
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there have been a few large-scale network-based incidents to date [7, 8, 9, 10] the more significant problem has been on
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From the perspective of one of the organizations that comprises our sample population, the world is full of computer viruses that are continually trying to penetrate the semi-permeable boundary that segregates that organization from the external world. At a rate depending on the number of computer virus infections in the world, the number of machines in the organization, and the
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there have been a few large-scale network-based incidents to date [7, 8, 9, 10] the more significant problem has been on
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Why Are Boot Viruses So Common? Boot viruses are by far the most common viruses today, accounting for nearly 90% of all incidents in 2Q95. File viruses, on the other hand, have decreased in prevalence. This is a remarkable change. Several years ago, file viruses accounted for around 50% of all incidents. What could be responsible for this dramatic change?
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How does Windows affect the spread of viruses? Experiments carried out at IBM's High Integrity Computing Laboratory demonstrated that Windows is a fragile environment in the presence of typical file viruses. In many cases, if a file virus is resident in the memory of a DOS system, Windows cannot even start. On the other hand, Windows behaves very differently on a system that is infected with a typical boot virus. For many boot viruses, an infected DOS system can not only start Windows, but can spread the virus to diskettes from within Windows.
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